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2026-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% -
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: LA Clippers +1 (103-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 33 7-16 1-4 9-11 6 2 4 1 2 24 19 -
Stephen Curry * 33 9-23 4-15 5-5 4 6 3 0 1 27 16 -
Draymond Green * 31 2-8 0-6 2-2 5 12 2 0 1 6 16 -
Moses Moody * 19 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 3 1 1 4 5 -
Quinten Post * 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Brandin Podziemski 26 2-5 1-1 1-2 4 0 2 0 0 6 7 -
De'Anthony Melton 24 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 1 2 5 2 -
Gary Payton II 15 7-10 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 1 0 14 12 -
Al Horford 15 1-8 1-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Gui Santos 11 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Will Richard 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 39 7-12 3-5 1-3 4 1 0 4 3 18 12 -
Kawhi Leonard * 38 10-25 0-8 4-4 12 5 1 2 5 24 14 -
Kobe Sanders * 35 9-16 2-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 3 20 11 -
Kris Dunn * 33 5-7 2-3 4-4 3 6 1 0 4 16 15 -
Ivica Zubac * 33 1-3 0-0 8-8 11 3 0 1 2 10 20 -
Nicolas Batum 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
Jordan Miller 22 3-6 1-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 9 10 -
Brook Lopez 14 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 3 1 2 0 0 5 -

* = starter