Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (100-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 32 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 6 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 30 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 25 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 25 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 22 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 9-21 | 2-12 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 38 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 30 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 22 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Clint Capela | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter