Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +18 (118-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 39 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 33 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 22 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 27 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kristaps Porziņģis | 19 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 31 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 18 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 11 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter