Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | β (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (120-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spencer * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 24 | 8-16 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 12 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 30 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 24 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| GG Jackson | 21 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Javon Small | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 38 | 10-20 | 4-10 | 12-13 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 31 | - |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 34 | 9-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 21 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter