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2026-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 43.2% 56.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% - βœ“
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 βœ“ (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% - βœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings -17 (98-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 39 8-15 1-2 8-8 4 10 2 0 2 25 24 -
Ryan Rollins * 33 4-11 2-5 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 12 9 -
Myles Turner * 31 5-13 3-9 2-2 5 0 0 2 3 15 6 -
AJ Green * 31 0-6 0-6 1-1 5 1 1 0 1 1 1 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 13-17 0-0 11-13 11 1 0 0 3 37 29 -
Gary Trent Jr. 22 4-8 4-8 1-1 1 3 0 0 0 13 9 -
Kyle Kuzma 17 1-4 0-3 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 3 6 -
Bobby Portis 16 4-11 0-3 1-1 11 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
Gary Harris 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 37 5-16 1-8 10-12 6 3 4 3 3 21 18 -
DeMar DeRozan * 28 4-11 0-1 3-7 4 3 1 0 2 11 6 -
Keegan Murray * 26 6-13 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 12 2 -
Maxime Raynaud * 24 3-5 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
Precious Achiuwa * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 4 6 -
Zach LaVine 35 6-12 2-4 6-6 3 4 0 0 0 20 15 -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 26 3-9 2-5 5-5 3 5 2 0 1 13 13 -
Drew Eubanks 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 4 4 -
Nique Clifford 19 3-5 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
Keon Ellis 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter