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2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 97.0% 3.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 80.1% 19.9% - ✓
Margin 91.6% 8.4% -13.1 ✓ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 72.0% 28.0% - ✓
Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 80.1% 19.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 70.6% 29.4% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -26 (115-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 30 14-21 6-10 1-4 6 3 4 0 4 35 23 -
Rudy Gobert * 29 8-10 0-0 2-2 14 0 0 4 1 18 25 -
Julius Randle * 25 9-15 1-3 3-5 3 4 0 0 0 22 14 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 22 2-10 1-9 0-0 4 3 3 0 1 5 4 -
Jaden McDaniels * 21 3-4 0-0 6-6 5 5 3 0 1 12 20 -
Jaylen Clark 27 4-6 0-1 4-5 2 3 3 1 0 12 15 -
Naz Reid 20 4-8 0-2 1-2 7 3 0 1 1 9 11 -
Bones Hyland 15 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 5 0 0 1 7 8 -
Mike Conley 12 2-4 2-4 1-1 2 3 0 0 1 7 7 -
Leonard Miller 10 3-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
Joe Ingles 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Johnny Juzang 8 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Rob Dillingham 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 27 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 6 7 -
Tre Johnson * 26 3-11 1-5 6-6 3 3 1 0 2 13 7 -
Alex Sarr * 25 3-10 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 7 3 -
CJ McCollum * 22 8-12 3-4 1-1 3 2 1 0 3 20 11 -
Khris Middleton * 17 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
Corey Kispert 18 4-8 2-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 3 13 3 -
Justin Champagnie 18 3-6 0-2 0-1 6 0 0 2 0 6 8 -
Bub Carrington 17 2-9 1-6 2-2 0 4 2 0 1 7 3 -
Marvin Bagley III 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
Tristan Vukcevic 13 3-5 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 1 1 8 7 -
Will Riley 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 6 5 -
AJ Johnson 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 5 -
Malaki Branham 7 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Anthony Gill 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter