Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (110-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 7-22 | 2-5 | 11-11 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Paul Reed * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 25 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Javonte Green | 24 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 19 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 18 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 10-21 | 3-10 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 27 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 24 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter