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2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% -
Margin 68.7% 31.3% -4.3 (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% -
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% -
Points Off/Def 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: LA Clippers -31 (115-146). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Payton Pritchard * 39 5-10 2-3 0-0 4 8 1 0 0 12 15 -
Derrick White * 37 10-20 5-12 4-5 4 7 1 2 3 29 20 -
Jaylen Brown * 35 18-26 6-10 8-10 3 5 0 0 2 50 30 -
Neemias Queta * 22 4-8 0-1 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 8 11 -
Sam Hauser * 21 3-9 2-8 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 3 -
Jordan Walsh 29 5-7 3-4 0-0 13 2 0 1 1 13 21 -
Luka Garza 19 3-5 1-2 4-4 6 3 1 1 0 11 17 -
Anfernee Simons 18 5-8 5-8 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 15 14 -
Hugo González 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Baylor Scheierman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Josh Minott 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 34 6-17 2-8 8-8 3 3 3 1 1 22 14 -
James Harden * 33 7-15 1-6 3-3 3 12 1 0 2 18 17 -
Kris Dunn * 30 4-10 2-6 0-0 4 6 0 0 0 10 10 -
John Collins * 28 9-10 3-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 22 14 -
Brook Lopez * 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 24 8-9 3-4 0-1 4 2 0 1 1 19 16 -
Ivica Zubac 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 4 7 -
Nicolas Batum 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
Kobe Sanders 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
Kobe Brown 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Cam Christie 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jordan Miller 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter