Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (110-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 14-26 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Clint Capela | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 22 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 39 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Max Christie * | 34 | 10-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 33 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 24 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter