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2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - ✗
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.8 ✗ (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - ✗
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - ✗

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (110-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 38 9-23 3-6 8-11 11 10 0 1 2 29 26 -
Toumani Camara * 35 7-11 5-9 1-2 8 1 1 0 4 20 15 -
Donovan Clingan * 34 9-12 3-5 3-6 12 4 0 0 0 24 28 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 28 3-16 0-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 6 -7 -
Kris Murray * 27 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
Caleb Love 27 6-13 3-9 1-4 5 2 0 0 0 16 10 -
Sidy Cissoko 22 2-6 2-5 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
Rayan Rupert 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
Yang Hansen 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 2 0 2 6 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Castle * 36 5-11 0-1 6-7 5 9 1 0 2 16 18 -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 7-14 2-4 3-4 6 4 3 0 0 19 18 -
Julian Champagnie * 33 8-14 4-9 0-0 10 4 0 0 1 20 19 -
Harrison Barnes * 31 5-11 2-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
Luke Kornet * 31 10-12 0-0 3-3 8 3 0 5 0 23 27 -
Keldon Johnson 23 1-6 0-0 3-4 8 1 2 0 1 5 9 -
Dylan Harper 22 2-12 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 2 0 6 3 -
Kelly Olynyk 14 2-9 0-5 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 5 2 -
Carter Bryant 5 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Lindy Waters III 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter