Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | β (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +17 (134-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 6-9 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 35 | 10-19 | 6-11 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 23 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 19 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Asa Newell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 11-15 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 29 | 11-19 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 31 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 27 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 14 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mo Bamba | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter