Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | β (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (128-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 12-15 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 28 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 23 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Christian Koloko * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 29 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 22 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jock Landale | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| GG Jackson | 15 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 17-20 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 37 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 12-18 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter