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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 80.1% 19.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% - βœ—
Margin 82.2% 17.8% -8.4 βœ— (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 63.5% 36.5% - βœ—
Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - βœ—

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +1 (122-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 36 8-17 5-10 4-5 6 2 1 0 3 25 14 -
Kon Knueppel * 33 9-16 3-8 5-7 4 3 0 0 3 26 14 -
Brandon Miller * 30 6-15 4-7 3-4 7 4 0 0 5 19 10 -
LaMelo Ball * 25 4-12 2-7 2-2 2 7 2 0 0 12 11 -
PJ Hall * 18 1-4 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 1 4 10 -
Collin Sexton 27 5-8 1-2 5-6 0 6 1 0 2 16 13 -
Sion James 27 3-4 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 0 7 13 -
Tidjane SalaΓΌn 22 4-5 2-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 12 13 -
Josh Green 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Liam McNeeley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Green * 40 4-13 3-10 1-2 0 3 1 0 1 12 2 -
Ryan Rollins * 36 11-13 6-7 1-1 4 8 3 1 1 29 31 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 4-14 0-4 2-2 4 10 2 0 1 10 11 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 11-18 0-0 8-8 10 5 1 0 3 30 25 -
Myles Turner * 22 0-4 0-2 1-2 4 2 0 2 0 1 5 -
Kyle Kuzma 31 7-10 3-5 1-1 6 1 0 0 2 18 13 -
Bobby Portis 22 7-11 4-6 2-2 6 1 0 1 2 20 15 -
Gary Trent Jr. 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jericho Sims 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter