Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.3% | 6.7% | -14.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -10 (113-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 33 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 10-19 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 2-13 | 2-11 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 29 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 11 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 35 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Micah Potter * | 27 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jay Huff | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kam Jones | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter