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2026-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 76.4% 23.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 71.0% 29.0% - ✓
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 ✓ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - ✓
Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - ✗

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (108-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 42 14-24 4-10 2-2 8 10 2 2 3 34 29 -
VJ Edgecombe * 39 9-14 3-6 2-3 5 2 4 1 0 23 21 -
Joel Embiid * 35 9-18 0-3 4-5 4 6 0 1 2 22 13 -
Paul George * 33 5-11 0-3 4-4 7 2 1 0 5 14 8 -
Dominick Barlow * 18 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Quentin Grimes 38 7-9 5-7 0-0 7 2 1 3 0 19 23 -
Jared McCain 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Adem Bona 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Andre Drummond 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jabari Walker 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 6-13 0-1 1-2 8 2 1 0 3 13 8 -
Cooper Flagg * 36 5-15 0-2 2-2 7 7 1 0 2 12 10 -
P.J. Washington * 34 3-6 1-4 4-5 5 1 2 1 0 11 14 -
Max Christie * 29 7-13 2-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 18 6 -
Ryan Nembhard * 21 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 9 5 -
Brandon Williams 23 5-15 0-3 4-4 7 5 1 0 2 14 10 -
Naji Marshall 22 4-7 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
Klay Thompson 13 4-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 4 -
Daniel Gafford 11 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 8 10 -
Jaden Hardy 7 1-4 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
Caleb Martin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter