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2026-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% -
Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -1 (113-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 32 7-15 3-6 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 18 10 -
Alex Sarr * 28 7-15 1-2 5-6 11 2 0 4 2 20 20 -
Tre Johnson * 28 5-13 4-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 14 4 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 25 2-8 1-4 5-8 5 2 2 0 1 10 10 -
Khris Middleton * 22 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 1 0 0 4 -
Justin Champagnie 32 5-9 1-3 1-2 9 2 2 2 0 12 18 -
Bub Carrington 23 7-14 6-11 0-1 5 5 0 1 2 20 15 -
Marvin Bagley III 19 4-6 0-1 1-1 3 4 2 0 1 9 11 -
AJ Johnson 15 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
Will Riley 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 5 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 39 9-17 1-7 0-0 6 5 0 0 3 19 10 -
Ryan Rollins * 39 5-13 4-7 2-2 7 7 0 0 3 16 14 -
AJ Green * 33 3-8 3-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
Myles Turner * 31 4-10 4-6 1-2 7 2 2 5 0 13 19 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 12-21 0-1 9-14 15 3 0 0 6 33 24 -
Kyle Kuzma 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 5 6 -
Bobby Portis 20 4-11 3-6 2-2 5 3 0 1 0 13 11 -
Gary Trent Jr. 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Gary Harris 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter