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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Margin 49.7% 50.3% +0.1 ✓ (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - ✓
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +24 (126-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 33 10-18 3-8 7-8 5 2 1 2 2 30 20 -
Julius Randle * 31 7-13 3-4 2-4 7 2 1 0 1 19 15 -
Rudy Gobert * 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 0 1 6 14 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 25 2-8 2-6 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 6 7 -
Jaden McDaniels * 21 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 8 8 -
Naz Reid 21 2-10 0-5 2-2 7 1 0 1 3 6 2 -
Jaylen Clark 15 1-4 0-3 1-2 0 0 1 1 1 3 0 -
Mike Conley 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Bones Hyland 12 0-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -7 -
Rob Dillingham 7 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 5 6 -
Johnny Juzang 7 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
Joan Beringer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Leonard Miller 7 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
Joe Ingles 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 32 15-22 3-6 1-1 10 6 2 1 3 34 28 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 31 4-12 3-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 11 0 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 28 4-10 1-5 0-2 4 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
Dyson Daniels * 28 5-8 0-0 1-3 8 9 2 2 1 11 23 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 26 6-13 2-5 3-3 8 5 0 0 0 17 17 -
Luke Kennard 26 6-12 2-5 1-1 6 5 1 0 1 15 14 -
Vít Krejčí 25 2-8 2-7 0-0 1 5 2 1 0 6 7 -
Kristaps Porziņģis 17 6-12 2-4 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 16 6 -
Asa Newell 15 3-5 1-3 0-2 9 1 1 0 0 7 13 -
Keaton Wallace 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mouhamed Gueye 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter