Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -7 (125-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 14 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 23 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Gui Santos | 16 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Will Richard | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford | 13 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 10 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller * | 36 | 14-29 | 3-12 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 6 | - |
| Kon Knueppel * | 32 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| LaMelo Ball * | 30 | 9-13 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Collin Sexton * | 27 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Sion James | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Josh Green | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tidjane Salaün | 16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| PJ Hall | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Liam McNeeley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter