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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - βœ“
Margin 66.8% 33.2% -3.9 βœ“ (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 71.9% 28.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - βœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -22 (106-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 32 12-19 1-4 2-2 5 11 1 0 5 27 20 -
Jalen Duren * 27 6-8 0-0 2-4 8 2 5 0 5 14 16 -
Duncan Robinson * 27 2-5 1-4 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 6 7 -
Ausar Thompson * 21 3-6 0-0 1-4 2 3 1 1 0 7 8 -
Tobias Harris * 5 2-2 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Javonte Green 31 3-7 1-4 1-2 4 2 0 2 0 8 9 -
Marcus Sasser 24 5-8 4-6 5-5 2 5 2 0 1 19 19 -
Ronald Holland II 19 4-7 1-3 2-3 7 0 1 0 2 11 10 -
Isaiah Stewart 17 6-6 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 15 11 -
Jaden Ivey 17 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
Paul Reed 8 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Daniss Jenkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Chaz Lanier 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake LaRavia * 38 3-9 1-5 2-2 4 1 4 1 2 9 8 -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 35 9-22 3-11 9-13 5 11 0 0 8 30 16 -
LeBron James * 31 6-17 3-10 2-5 4 4 1 1 5 17 5 -
Deandre Ayton * 25 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
Marcus Smart * 24 1-4 0-3 4-4 2 5 3 0 1 6 11 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 27 3-3 2-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 8 13 -
Jaxson Hayes 18 5-5 0-0 3-5 2 2 1 0 0 13 13 -
Nick Smith Jr. 17 1-6 0-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -3 -
Maxi Kleber 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Bronny James 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Adou Thiero 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
Dalton Knecht 4 4-4 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 8 -

* = starter