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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 92.6% 7.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% - ✓
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 ✓ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - ✓
Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.1% 43.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -3 (136-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 43 13-21 4-7 4-5 4 12 2 0 0 34 31 -
VJ Edgecombe * 40 10-21 5-10 0-0 6 4 4 1 1 25 18 -
Paul George * 39 6-17 3-11 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 17 3 -
Joel Embiid * 38 11-28 1-6 11-12 10 8 1 2 4 34 23 -
Dominick Barlow * 24 6-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 12 9 -
Quentin Grimes 37 4-9 2-6 1-2 3 3 3 0 0 11 11 -
Adem Bona 25 0-0 0-0 4-6 6 2 1 2 0 4 15 -
Jared McCain 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Justin Edwards 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 37 4-12 2-5 5-6 12 3 0 3 2 15 19 -
Cedric Coward * 36 10-16 2-4 6-6 16 4 0 0 3 28 29 -
Ja Morant * 34 16-22 0-2 8-10 2 3 2 0 4 40 21 -
Jaylen Wells * 32 6-12 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 14 6 -
Christian Koloko * 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Santi Aldama 36 6-11 3-6 0-0 6 2 0 4 4 15 12 -
GG Jackson 23 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 2 1 6 6 -
Jock Landale 18 3-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 6 4 -
Cam Spencer 18 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 5 0 0 2 7 8 -
Javon Small 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 5 7 -

* = starter