Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (125-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 29 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 19 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 8-12 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 33 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 28 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko * | 21 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Love | 34 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter