Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (101-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 25 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 24 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 21 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 5 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 27 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 10-12 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 17 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter