Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (126-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 25 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 18 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith | 23 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kam Jones | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Micah Potter | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 37 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 13-20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 24 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Clint Capela | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JD Davison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Green | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter