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2025-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 85.3% 14.7% -
Bradley-Terry 76.1% 23.9% -
Margin 88.7% 11.3% -11.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 69.7% 30.3% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -
Points Off/Def 68.9% 31.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -14 (101-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 8-23 1-6 5-7 6 5 1 0 2 22 9 -
Royce O'Neale * 32 5-8 5-6 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 15 16 -
Dillon Brooks * 32 8-20 3-8 7-7 3 0 0 0 1 26 8 -
Oso Ighodaro * 29 2-3 0-0 2-2 10 3 2 0 1 6 17 -
Collin Gillespie * 28 10-14 5-8 0-0 4 6 2 0 2 25 21 -
Jordan Goodwin 27 6-14 2-6 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 14 10 -
Nick Richards 17 1-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 0 2 6 -
Jamaree Bouyea 12 0-6 0-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Rasheer Fleming 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Isaiah Livers 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Nigel Hayes-Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Khaman Maluach 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 28 6-13 0-5 5-6 3 4 2 2 3 17 12 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 26 3-8 2-5 5-6 7 3 0 1 3 13 13 -
Tre Johnson * 25 9-12 5-5 1-1 1 2 1 0 3 24 13 -
Alex Sarr * 24 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 2 2 2 4 -
Jamir Watkins * 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Bub Carrington 26 4-8 2-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 10 10 -
Justin Champagnie 26 4-9 1-4 2-4 6 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
Marvin Bagley III 22 2-5 0-1 3-4 7 2 0 3 0 7 14 -
Will Riley 20 4-10 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
Malaki Branham 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Anthony Gill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
AJ Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter