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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% -
Bradley-Terry 14.2% 85.8% -
Margin 8.4% 91.6% +13.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 27.1% 72.9% -
Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Log Adjusted 25.5% 74.5% -
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +24 (125-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maxime Raynaud * 34 8-10 0-0 0-1 10 2 0 0 2 16 16 -
DeMar DeRozan * 33 8-17 1-2 5-5 4 5 1 0 3 22 12 -
Russell Westbrook * 26 6-17 1-5 0-0 5 4 2 0 6 13 1 -
Keon Ellis * 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 -2 -
Precious Achiuwa * 19 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
Nique Clifford 28 4-6 2-4 1-2 6 3 1 0 4 11 11 -
Dylan Cardwell 23 3-4 0-0 1-3 7 0 3 0 0 7 13 -
Dennis Schröder 19 3-6 0-2 5-6 2 7 2 1 2 11 15 -
Malik Monk 19 4-10 3-9 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 11 4 -
Doug McDermott 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Dončić * 32 11-23 5-14 7-8 5 7 3 1 5 34 22 -
Deandre Ayton * 30 5-9 0-0 1-2 11 2 0 2 0 11 17 -
LeBron James * 28 11-13 1-2 1-1 3 5 2 0 2 24 19 -
Rui Hachimura * 26 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 12 9 -
Marcus Smart * 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 4 -
Jake LaRavia 25 3-8 0-3 5-5 2 4 2 1 2 11 10 -
Nick Smith Jr. 23 8-14 5-10 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 21 11 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 5 3 -
Maxi Kleber 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 2 4 -
Adou Thiero 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Dalton Knecht 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Bronny James 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Timme 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter