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2025-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 57.6% 42.4% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% - βœ—
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 βœ— (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - βœ—
Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 62.8% 37.2% - βœ—

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (114-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 39 5-16 2-10 0-0 5 5 5 1 3 12 9 -
Payton Pritchard * 37 3-10 3-8 0-0 5 5 2 0 2 9 9 -
Jaylen Brown * 36 14-23 2-5 7-10 7 4 0 0 6 37 19 -
Neemias Queta * 29 5-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 2 3 11 10 -
Jordan Walsh * 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 30 5-10 1-5 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 13 12 -
Sam Hauser 19 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 3 2 -
Anfernee Simons 18 4-11 2-6 3-3 3 1 2 0 1 13 7 -
Luka Garza 11 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Baylor Scheierman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 38 8-16 3-10 5-10 7 10 2 1 5 24 23 -
Toumani Camara * 35 7-14 4-10 2-3 4 3 1 0 1 20 13 -
Donovan Clingan * 33 8-10 1-3 1-2 18 1 0 0 2 18 25 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 31 10-20 5-8 1-2 5 1 1 0 3 26 10 -
Kris Murray * 30 2-5 0-2 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 5 7 -
Caleb Love 28 6-14 4-10 2-2 2 3 2 0 5 18 6 -
Sidy Cissoko 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 4 2 1 1 0 4 -
Yang Hansen 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
Rayan Rupert 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter