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2025-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 67.5% 32.5% -4.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 59.7% 40.3% -
Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% -
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +4 (116-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 35 5-14 1-4 3-4 10 3 5 0 3 14 15 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 35 11-25 2-7 7-9 8 1 1 4 3 31 17 -
Ja Morant * 27 8-16 3-5 2-2 0 7 0 0 3 21 9 -
Jaylen Wells * 27 4-11 2-4 1-2 7 3 0 0 2 11 8 -
Cedric Coward * 22 4-9 0-3 3-3 6 3 0 0 2 11 9 -
Cam Spencer 26 4-11 0-5 0-0 3 7 2 0 2 8 7 -
Christian Koloko 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 3 0 4 11 -
GG Jackson 21 2-5 0-2 1-1 1 1 4 0 1 5 5 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 10 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 4 2 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 32 5-12 1-6 5-5 4 5 0 0 4 16 9 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 28 6-15 0-3 2-2 8 2 3 2 1 14 13 -
Alex Sarr * 26 9-20 1-6 1-1 9 1 2 6 1 20 17 -
Tre Johnson * 25 5-11 2-5 2-2 0 4 1 1 1 14 8 -
Khris Middleton * 22 2-7 0-1 6-6 6 2 1 1 1 10 12 -
Bub Carrington 26 4-9 2-4 2-3 4 7 1 0 8 12 7 -
Justin Champagnie 25 3-8 2-4 2-2 12 0 1 1 2 10 14 -
Marvin Bagley III 21 6-8 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 14 13 -
Will Riley 18 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 0 4 -
Malaki Branham 11 2-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Jamir Watkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter