Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +14 (141-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 41 | 12-30 | 4-11 | 11-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 14 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Will Richard | 35 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Al Horford | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 42 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 42 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 39 | 12-26 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 38 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 19 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 23 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 33 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter