Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +17 (117-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 30 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 29 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 20 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Evan Mobley | 20 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 28 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 26 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 32 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Clint Capela | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Green | 4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| JD Davison | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter