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2025-12-28

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 73.7% 26.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - βœ“
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 βœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 64.1% 35.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - βœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -3 (125-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 38 3-10 2-5 7-7 10 5 3 1 1 15 23 -
Jalen Brunson * 37 15-29 4-11 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 34 10 -
Mikal Bridges * 36 6-13 2-6 0-0 3 8 1 0 1 14 12 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 29 8-15 3-6 17-18 15 1 0 0 2 36 35 -
Mohamed Diawara * 16 2-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 2 0 5 7 -
Kevin McCullar Jr. 23 4-7 3-6 2-5 8 2 2 0 3 13 15 -
Jordan Clarkson 21 1-5 0-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
Mitchell Robinson 18 3-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 1 0 6 16 -
Tyler Kolek 18 1-6 0-3 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 2 -2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 39 5-8 0-1 3-4 8 9 2 0 3 13 21 -
Jalen Johnson * 37 7-16 1-3 5-6 9 12 0 2 2 20 25 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 36 10-16 6-10 5-7 14 1 1 0 0 31 31 -
Trae Young * 31 2-9 0-4 5-5 0 10 2 0 6 9 6 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 19 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 29 8-18 5-12 4-4 0 1 1 0 0 25 9 -
Vít Krejčí 24 3-8 3-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 1 -
Asa Newell 16 5-6 2-3 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 12 9 -
Luke Kennard 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Mouhamed Gueye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter