Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 34 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Max Christie * | 29 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 26 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 25 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Ellis * | 32 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 27 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 26 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 20 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 20 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
* = starter