Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (125-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Portis * | 34 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| AJ Green * | 34 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Rollins | 23 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gary Harris | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pete Nance | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Santi Aldama * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 24 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 25 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| GG Jackson | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Javon Small | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter