Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -18 (122-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard * | 37 | 10-17 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Derrick White * | 33 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 32 | 13-20 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Walsh * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Luka Garza | 26 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Sam Hauser | 17 | 7-8 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Hugo González | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 29 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 26 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 18 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Micah Potter | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 14 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kam Jones | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter