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2025-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 92.6% 7.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 78.2% 21.8% - ✗
Margin 90.8% 9.2% -12.6 ✗ (33.6 off)
Pythagorean 71.6% 28.4% - ✗
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 74.9% 25.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 65.6% 34.4% - ✗

Actual: Washington Wizards +21 (138-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 33 10-20 1-7 8-10 6 2 0 2 1 29 18 -
Immanuel Quickley * 32 6-13 4-4 9-9 4 5 2 1 1 25 23 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili * 32 5-9 3-6 0-0 11 2 2 1 1 13 19 -
Scottie Barnes * 29 6-14 0-2 2-2 4 7 0 0 3 14 8 -
Ochai Agbaji * 25 4-9 0-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 8 3 -
Jamal Shead 19 2-8 2-7 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 6 1 -
Gradey Dick 18 2-6 0-1 1-1 4 3 1 1 0 5 8 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 17 5-7 2-4 3-3 0 1 0 0 1 15 8 -
Jonathan Mogbo 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jamison Battle 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A.J. Lawson 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Garrett Temple 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 30 8-16 3-8 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 21 11 -
Kyshawn George * 28 9-13 3-5 2-3 6 3 0 1 3 23 17 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 25 8-14 1-4 4-5 8 1 3 1 2 21 18 -
Alex Sarr * 23 7-9 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 3 1 15 14 -
Khris Middleton * 19 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
Bub Carrington 22 5-8 4-7 1-2 4 4 0 0 0 15 15 -
Justin Champagnie 22 3-4 2-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 8 15 -
Marvin Bagley III 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 6 10 -
Tre Johnson 19 4-8 0-3 4-4 1 3 0 0 2 12 6 -
Will Riley 15 3-7 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
AJ Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jamir Watkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Tristan Vukcevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Malaki Branham 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter