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2025-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% -
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: LA Clippers +20 (128-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 34 7-10 0-0 5-8 9 5 2 0 3 19 22 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 31 6-13 4-10 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 16 5 -
Kevin Durant * 29 8-15 1-4 5-5 5 1 0 2 3 22 12 -
Alperen Sengun * 28 9-16 0-0 1-1 11 7 2 1 3 19 21 -
Josh Okogie * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Reed Sheppard 26 3-9 1-5 1-1 1 3 0 1 0 8 4 -
Tari Eason 18 3-7 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 7 6 -
Aaron Holiday 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
Steven Adams 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jae'Sean Tate 13 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 3 0 1 0 7 10 -
Clint Capela 5 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
JD Davison 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jeff Green 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 36 16-23 4-5 5-5 8 5 0 0 2 41 29 -
James Harden * 34 7-14 3-8 12-13 4 6 2 0 4 29 23 -
John Collins * 29 5-8 3-3 0-0 5 5 2 2 0 13 19 -
Brook Lopez * 27 1-5 1-4 2-2 6 4 0 2 0 5 12 -
Kris Dunn * 25 4-8 3-7 0-1 4 2 1 0 0 11 10 -
Nicolas Batum 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Bogdan Bogdanović 19 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Kobe Sanders 13 4-5 3-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 13 11 -
Cam Christie 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jordan Miller 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Kobe Brown 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter