Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +24 (132-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| LeBron James * | 25 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 6-11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Austin Reaves | 21 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bronny James | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Mañon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie * | 28 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 27 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 23 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 22 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 24 | 7-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter