Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -17 (94-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 37 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Portis * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| AJ Green * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Rollins | 32 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gary Harris | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Pete Nance | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Ethan Thompson * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 16 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| James Wiseman | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Garrison Mathews | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kam Jones | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter