Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | β (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +23 (141-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce McGowens * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 25 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Zion Williamson | 20 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Yves Missi | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 29 | 11-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 25 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 24 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 24 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 24 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 21 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 8 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter