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2025-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.2% 85.8% - ✓
Margin 4.0% 96.0% +17.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.7% 79.3% - ✓
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.9% 77.1% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +17 (126-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 33 5-17 1-5 3-4 6 4 0 1 0 14 8 -
Kyshawn George * 31 1-9 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 2 -2 -
Alex Sarr * 24 2-6 0-1 3-4 11 1 1 4 0 7 18 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 23 5-13 3-9 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 14 7 -
Khris Middleton * 21 5-10 1-3 5-5 1 1 1 0 0 16 9 -
Marvin Bagley III 21 5-7 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 1 0 15 13 -
Tre Johnson 21 5-12 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 12 6 -
Justin Champagnie 19 5-7 0-1 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 10 12 -
Bub Carrington 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
Corey Kispert 13 3-8 1-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 9 5 -
Malaki Branham 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
AJ Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Will Riley 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tristan Vukcevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moussa Diabaté * 35 6-6 0-0 0-0 18 1 0 0 0 12 25 -
Miles Bridges * 33 4-13 1-6 1-2 9 9 0 1 1 10 15 -
Brandon Miller * 30 8-17 4-10 0-0 4 4 0 2 0 20 13 -
Kon Knueppel * 28 7-15 5-9 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 19 8 -
LaMelo Ball * 24 7-12 4-9 5-6 2 9 1 1 2 23 22 -
Sion James 23 2-5 1-2 8-8 4 4 1 0 0 13 17 -
Tidjane Salaün 21 4-11 1-3 2-3 6 1 1 1 0 11 9 -
Collin Sexton 16 2-7 2-4 6-6 1 2 0 1 0 12 9 -
Tre Mann 11 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Josh Green 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Pat Connaughton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Liam McNeeley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter