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2025-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% -
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% -
Margin 74.7% 25.3% -6.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% -
Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% -
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% -
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (102-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 33 5-14 0-3 2-2 4 4 1 1 1 12 7 -
Duncan Robinson * 31 4-14 3-11 4-6 2 4 0 0 0 15 7 -
Ausar Thompson * 27 8-16 0-0 2-4 12 3 3 0 2 18 18 -
Cade Cunningham * 25 6-9 1-2 1-2 6 9 1 0 5 14 16 -
Jalen Duren * 23 11-15 0-0 4-6 10 2 1 2 0 26 26 -
Javonte Green 23 2-7 1-5 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 6 7 -
Isaiah Stewart 20 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 3 0 3 7 -
Caris LeVert 18 0-8 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 0 -1 -
Jaden Ivey 17 5-8 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 11 6 -
Daniss Jenkins 13 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 5 2 -
Paul Reed 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 38 4-12 1-4 9-15 8 9 0 1 3 18 21 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 34 11-21 1-6 2-3 3 2 5 0 8 25 6 -
Donovan Clingan * 33 6-8 2-2 3-6 10 2 0 3 0 17 24 -
Toumani Camara * 29 3-9 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 8 -2 -
Kris Murray * 27 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Sidy Cissoko 27 3-8 0-5 10-13 3 3 1 0 3 16 12 -
Caleb Love 18 1-5 0-3 3-4 3 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
Robert Williams III 14 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 8 11 -
Rayan Rupert 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Duop Reath 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter