Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | β (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +6 (119-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 16-28 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 24 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 5-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 29 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 24 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 31 | 7-17 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 14 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gafford | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 24 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 27 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Zion Williamson | 25 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter