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2025-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.9% 88.1% - βœ“
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.4 βœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.9% 75.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 11.7% 88.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 18.0% 82.0% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +8 (103-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 37 9-18 4-7 3-4 6 3 0 0 0 25 16 -
Bennedict Mathurin * 36 7-20 2-7 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 16 6 -
Andrew Nembhard * 35 6-13 2-4 6-7 2 7 0 0 4 20 12 -
Ethan Thompson * 33 5-12 3-9 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 13 8 -
Jay Huff * 25 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 3 1 -
Johnny Furphy 23 1-4 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
Quenton Jackson 15 2-5 0-0 5-5 0 1 1 0 2 9 4 -
Jarace Walker 15 1-5 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
James Wiseman 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Isaiah Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Garrison Mathews 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Taelon Peter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kam Jones 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 33 11-25 2-6 7-8 9 2 1 2 2 31 18 -
Payton Pritchard * 32 4-12 1-4 2-2 3 5 2 0 3 11 6 -
Derrick White * 31 7-16 3-8 2-2 5 4 0 1 2 19 11 -
Neemias Queta * 23 3-5 0-0 2-4 8 2 0 0 1 8 12 -
Josh Minott * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 36 3-5 0-2 0-0 11 1 1 2 2 6 14 -
Luka Garza 24 2-2 0-0 2-2 9 3 0 1 0 6 17 -
Sam Hauser 19 2-8 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 2 -
Anfernee Simons 17 4-11 2-7 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 11 0 -
Baylor Scheierman 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter