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2025-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 ✓ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (139-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kon Knueppel * 30 6-11 5-9 3-3 1 2 0 0 3 20 9 -
Miles Bridges * 29 6-14 0-3 5-7 6 4 0 1 1 17 13 -
Brandon Miller * 26 8-13 2-4 2-3 1 3 2 1 3 20 11 -
LaMelo Ball * 24 8-16 6-10 1-1 4 9 0 0 3 23 17 -
Mason Plumlee * 10 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 3 5 3 -
Moussa Diabaté 28 2-6 0-0 1-2 14 2 6 0 3 5 18 -
Tidjane Salaün 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Sion James 20 2-5 0-2 3-4 1 3 0 0 1 7 5 -
Josh Green 19 3-4 3-4 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
Tre Mann 17 5-13 3-5 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 13 8 -
Liam McNeeley 5 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Pat Connaughton 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 30 9-15 5-6 4-4 4 10 2 0 3 27 25 -
Donovan Mitchell * 28 10-18 6-11 4-4 4 5 0 0 3 30 18 -
Dean Wade * 27 4-7 4-7 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 14 16 -
Jaylon Tyson * 20 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 3 0 2 0 -1 -
Jarrett Allen * 19 4-4 0-0 4-4 5 2 1 2 2 12 16 -
De'Andre Hunter 25 9-13 4-5 5-5 5 1 1 0 2 27 19 -
Sam Merrill 25 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 4 4 -
Lonzo Ball 23 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 6 10 -
Thomas Bryant 19 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Craig Porter Jr. 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tyrese Proctor 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter