Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +1 (125-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 47 | 8-21 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 45 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 40 | 12-17 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 33 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Clint Capela | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 46 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 40 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 29 | 8-24 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 31 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 26 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Monk | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter