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2025-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 6.6% 93.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% -
Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +3 (103-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Portis * 39 7-17 2-6 0-0 11 1 1 0 3 16 9 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 37 8-17 3-9 5-6 10 9 4 1 6 24 25 -
Myles Turner * 37 4-11 3-8 2-2 5 4 0 0 0 13 11 -
Kyle Kuzma * 32 3-5 0-1 6-8 10 4 0 0 4 12 17 -
AJ Green * 23 1-8 1-8 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Ryan Rollins 22 6-14 2-6 2-2 4 5 0 1 0 16 12 -
Jericho Sims 19 4-4 0-0 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 9 13 -
Gary Trent Jr. 17 2-11 2-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 -3 -
Gary Harris 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 39 5-7 0-0 1-4 18 3 1 1 0 11 27 -
Anthony Edwards * 36 7-24 2-11 8-12 4 6 0 1 1 24 10 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 33 7-11 4-8 0-0 5 4 2 0 3 18 15 -
Julius Randle * 32 4-9 0-2 4-5 7 2 2 0 2 12 12 -
Jaden McDaniels * 8 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Naz Reid 28 5-12 2-8 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 12 5 -
Mike Conley 23 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 6 1 2 0 6 14 -
Bones Hyland 18 3-7 1-5 2-2 0 4 1 0 0 9 7 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 12 4-7 3-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
Jaylen Clark 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter