Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.7% | 2.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.7% | 3.3% | -18.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -11 (113-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 10-19 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 31 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 9-13 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 23 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama | 21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 18 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 17 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bub Carrington * | 39 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Kyshawn George * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic * | 27 | 8-19 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Justin Champagnie * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tre Johnson | 25 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Will Riley | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Malaki Branham | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter