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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% - ✗
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 ✗ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Gillespie * 34 5-14 2-7 4-5 5 4 3 0 1 16 13 -
Devin Booker * 33 13-27 2-7 10-12 1 5 3 2 2 38 20 -
Dillon Brooks * 31 8-11 3-5 3-4 5 3 0 0 2 22 17 -
Royce O'Neale * 29 2-7 1-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 5 1 -
Mark Williams * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 0 4 10 -
Oso Ighodaro 29 5-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 10 11 -
Jordan Goodwin 25 3-8 3-7 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 9 4 -
Ryan Dunn 20 2-6 1-1 2-2 5 3 1 0 3 7 7 -
Jamaree Bouyea 16 2-5 0-2 1-1 2 2 1 2 1 5 6 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 9-19 4-11 6-7 10 6 1 0 4 28 22 -
Jimmy Butler III * 34 10-21 2-6 3-3 1 2 0 1 1 25 7 -
Quinten Post * 26 3-8 1-6 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 7 5 -
Moses Moody * 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 4 -
Draymond Green * 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 4 7 -
Brandin Podziemski 29 4-11 2-8 1-2 3 6 1 0 4 11 6 -
Will Richard 19 6-7 4-4 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 20 16 -
Gary Payton II 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 8 3 1 1 2 5 10 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 17 2-2 0-0 1-3 7 0 1 1 2 5 10 -
De'Anthony Melton 15 0-5 0-4 2-3 2 5 1 2 2 2 5 -
Pat Spencer 10 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Gui Santos 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 5 6 -

* = starter