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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% - ✗
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 ✗ (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% - ✗
Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -8 (122-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 39 9-16 6-12 4-5 5 6 0 0 0 28 23 -
Kyshawn George * 39 10-16 3-7 5-5 7 7 1 1 4 28 24 -
Bub Carrington * 34 4-11 1-5 5-6 7 4 0 0 2 14 12 -
Alex Sarr * 25 8-16 2-4 0-0 11 2 0 1 0 18 16 -
Khris Middleton * 22 1-9 1-3 3-4 3 4 2 0 1 6 5 -
Justin Champagnie 23 1-5 1-3 1-4 11 4 1 1 1 4 15 -
Tre Johnson 21 5-11 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 12 4 -
Marvin Bagley III 21 8-13 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 16 10 -
Will Riley 10 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Malaki Branham 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Spencer * 37 7-18 4-10 1-1 4 11 0 0 2 19 14 -
Jaylen Wells * 32 2-10 0-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 7-18 3-7 5-7 8 3 2 0 3 22 14 -
Cedric Coward * 30 5-9 2-5 2-4 6 3 1 1 2 14 14 -
Brandon Clarke * 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Santi Aldama 35 15-23 5-9 2-3 10 2 1 1 2 37 26 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 27 3-7 1-4 4-4 2 5 1 0 2 11 10 -
Jock Landale 23 2-10 0-3 1-2 8 1 0 1 1 5 4 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 16 3-3 1-1 1-1 2 5 0 0 0 8 12 -

* = starter