Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | β (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +19 (128-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 23 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 20 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ethan Thompson | 18 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 8-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| James Wiseman | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Garrison Mathews | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 27 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 27 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 31 | 4-10 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Zion Williamson | 23 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Yves Missi | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter