Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -16 (96-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard * | 37 | 13-24 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 5-20 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Walsh * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Hugo González | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 26 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Luka Garza | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Josh Minott | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 31 | 1-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 29 | 9-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter